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What changed today

What moved your book overnight, and which assumption it touched.

Every morning we run the full chain on a handful of public companies, using only primary sources, and publish the result. No login. Click any number to see the sentence it came from.

Sixty seconds

One filing, followed to the decision it produced.

The film below is the chain every brief runs: the filing lands, the fact is compiled with the sentence it came from, the model cell changes, the assumption moves, the exposure is recomputed, and the decision is written down. Every company in it is invented, because a page about provenance should not carry made-up numbers next to a real name.

The format

What every brief contains.

Six lines per company, in this order, and nothing that cannot be traced.

Event

The filing, the transcript or the macro print, linked to the primary source.

What changed

The sentence it came from, quoted, with the page and character span.

Model

The cells it touches, with the previous value beside the proposed one.

Thesis

The assumption that depends on those cells, and whether it got stronger, weaker or broke.

Portfolio

Direct and indirect exposure to the affected driver, recomputed.

Abstentions

Where the evidence was insufficient, the brief says so rather than filling the gap.

Briefs begin with the next release.

Until then this page holds the format. Every brief is produced from primary sources only, every number links to the sentence it came from, and the system abstains rather than guesses. How that is measured is on the accuracy page. Nothing published here is investment advice.

Get the first brief the morning it publishes